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Blizzard forced to reveal Loot Box probabilities – Overwatch


Chinese law forces Blizzard to show its hand.

Blizzard has for the first time revealed the probability rates for drawing items of specific rarities from Loot Boxes in Overwatch.

The revelation comes as a result of a change in Chinese law, which now stipulates that companies must disclose the probabilities that lie behind “blind buy” boxes such as these.

There are four different item rarities in Overwatch – Common, Rare, Epic and Legendary. Here’s how Blizzard determines the odds behind each tier of quality:

  • Each Loot Box will contain four items. If an item is already owned, it will be converted into currency.
  • Within each Loot Box there will be at least one item of Rare, Epic or Legendary quality.
  • You need to open, on average, 5.5 Loot Boxes in order to gain an Epic item.
  • You’ll have to open an average of 13.5 Loot Boxes if you want a Legendary.

If you’ve got a head for maths, then the Overwatch sub-Reddit has further probability calculations for you, based on the principles outlined above.

More great Overwatch guides:

If you’re fluent in Mandarin, you can also read the official announcement over on the official Chinese Overwatch site.

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